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"World", "gapPp": -2.475663232079995, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2019, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 3.3828663990194983, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2020, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 11.81420096, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2021, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 8.255999760000009, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2022, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 5.198065560000003, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2023, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 4.811901859999992, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2024, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": 3.4483993500000025, "sourceId": "wb-internet" }, { "year": 2025, "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "gapPp": null, "sourceId": "wb-internet" } ], "completeness": [ { "code": "EGY", "country": "Egypt", "requested": 26, "available": 25, "missingYears": [ 2025 ] }, { "code": "MAR", "country": "Morocco", "requested": 26, "available": 25, "missingYears": [ 2025 ] }, { "code": "TUN", "country": "Tunisia", "requested": 26, "available": 23, "missingYears": [ 2022, 2023, 2025 ] }, { "code": "JOR", "country": "Jordan", "requested": 26, "available": 25, "missingYears": [ 2025 ] }, { "code": "TUR", "country": "Türkiye", "requested": 26, "available": 26, "missingYears": [] }, { "code": "WLD", "country": "World", "requested": 26, "available": 21, "missingYears": [ 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 ] }, { "code": "LMY", "country": "Low & middle income", "requested": 26, "available": 0, "missingYears": [ 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 ] } ], "completeComparisonYears": [ 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2024 ], "vintageDifferences": [ { "year": 2000, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 6.7202880378602705, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2000, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 1.39170457055199, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2001, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 8.02265061275109, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2001, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 1.97717524841675, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2002, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 10.4781088456767, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2002, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 3.37869490132783, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2003, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 12.1611651190342, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2003, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 4.342618263812031, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2004, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 14.0374335731318, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2004, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 5.510284793263289, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2005, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 6.51519528475105, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2006, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 17.2, "mirrorValue": 17.3, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2006, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 8.01508514541189, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2007, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 20.2, "mirrorValue": 20.3, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2007, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 10.4398923533672, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2008, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 12.9905678254287, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2009, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 25.3, "mirrorValue": 25.4, "differencePp": -0.09999999999999787 }, { "year": 2009, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 15.6221230504059, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2010, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 28.4, "mirrorValue": 28.5, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2010, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 19.0791698542798, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2011, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 30.9, "mirrorValue": 31.0, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2011, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 21.8013377520099, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2012, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 33.3, "mirrorValue": 33.5, "differencePp": -0.20000000000000284 }, { "year": 2012, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 24.1443931965611, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2013, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 35.3, "mirrorValue": 35.4, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2013, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 26.2560481937802, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2014, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 37.4, "mirrorValue": 37.5, "differencePp": -0.10000000000000142 }, { "year": 2014, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 28.6883422116554, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2015, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 31.4086112399697, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2016, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 43.6, "mirrorValue": 42.9, "differencePp": 0.7000000000000028 }, { "year": 2016, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 34.1026063892478, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2017, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 46.3, "mirrorValue": 45.4, "differencePp": 0.8999999999999986 }, { "year": 2017, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 36.642622540635, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2018, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 49.4, "mirrorValue": 48.6, "differencePp": 0.7999999999999972 }, { "year": 2018, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 40.396664056103695, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2019, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 53.9, "mirrorValue": 53.2, "differencePp": 0.6999999999999957 }, { "year": 2019, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 45.7025830851034, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2020, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 60.1, "mirrorValue": 59.3, "differencePp": 0.8000000000000043 }, { "year": 2020, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 52.288853931873, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2021, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 63.8, "mirrorValue": 62.2, "differencePp": 1.5999999999999943 }, { "year": 2021, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 55.8635469263053, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2022, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 67, "mirrorValue": 64.4, "differencePp": 2.5999999999999943 }, { "year": 2022, "code": "LMY", "primaryValue": null, "mirrorValue": 62.0445300044265, "differencePp": null }, { "year": 2023, "code": "WLD", "primaryValue": 69.2, "mirrorValue": 67.4, "differencePp": 1.7999999999999972 } ], "notes": [ "No interpolation, imputation, trend extrapolation or causal regression.", "World aggregate is shown separately from five national peers.", "All LMY observations are missing in the frozen primary response; excluded from common-year comparisons.", "Current primary API and older FRED mirror differ. Mirror is diagnostic only and never fills missing primary data.", "Population indicator does not measure confidence, online transaction skills, hospital IT readiness, or city adoption." ] }, "enterprise": { "surveyYear": "2025", "fieldwork": "September 2025–January 2026", "sample": 1024, "scope": "Formal registered private non-agricultural establishments with 5+ employees and at least 1% private ownership. Healthcare, education/social work, finance, public utilities and public administration excluded.", "metrics": [ { "id": "outages", "label": "Firms experiencing electrical outages", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 35.6, "small": 34.4, "medium": 46.2, "large": 29.7, "page": 11, "denominator": "Eligible establishments in the Enterprise Survey; weighted published estimate" }, { "id": "training", "label": "Firms offering formal training", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 7.7, "small": 4.0, "medium": 21.7, "large": 29.7, "page": 11, "denominator": "Eligible establishments in the Enterprise Survey; weighted published estimate" }, { "id": "account", "label": "Firms with a checking or savings account", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 75.3, "small": 70.4, "medium": 95.9, "large": 100.0, "page": 11, "denominator": "Eligible establishments in the Enterprise Survey; weighted published estimate" }, { "id": "product", "label": "Firms introducing a new product or service", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 9.0, "small": 7.2, "medium": 19.3, "large": 11.0, "page": 11, "denominator": "Eligible establishments in the Enterprise Survey; weighted published estimate" }, { "id": "process", "label": "Firms introducing a process innovation", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 3.2, "small": 2.0, "medium": 9.5, "large": 6.8, "page": 11, "denominator": "Eligible establishments in the Enterprise Survey; weighted published estimate" }, { "id": "electricity_biggest", "label": "Electricity named the biggest obstacle", "unit": "% of firms", "total": 16.2, "small": 16.3, "medium": 14.4, "large": 19.2, "page": 12, "denominator": "Eligible establishments choosing their single biggest business-environment obstacle; weighted published estimate" } ], "locations": [ { "region": "Greater Cairo", "n": 294 }, { "region": "Middle & East Delta", "n": 232 }, { "region": "Southern Upper Egypt", "n": 142 }, { "region": "Suez Region", "n": 134 }, { "region": "West Delta", "n": 123 }, { "region": "Northern Upper Egypt", "n": 99 } ], "sizeSample": [ { "size": "small", "n": 515 }, { "size": "medium", "n": 322 }, { "size": "large", "n": 187 } ], "notes": [ "Published weighted estimates; subgroup sample counts are not population weights.", "No confidence intervals or significance claims computed without survey weights/design/microdata.", "Location counts describe the sample, not regional adoption or outage rates.", "Biggest obstacle is a single chosen obstacle, not every problem a firm experienced.", "Do not generalize these estimates to hospitals, informal microbusinesses, individual citizens, or all firms." ] }, "finance": { "rows": [], "notes": [ "CBE statistics are discussed with their original source in the article; this download does not add an unverified banking dataset." ] }, "simulation": { "label": "Synthetic automation scenario — not measured Egyptian ROI", "unit": "EGP per month (illustrative monetary unit, no exchange-rate conversion)", "assumptions": { "defaults": { "jobs": 2000, "manualMin": 8, "autoMin": 1.5, "reviewMin": 2, "errorRate": 0.05, "reworkMin": 10, "hourlyCost": 60, "recurringCost": 2500, "outageHours": 4, "affectedHourlyValue": 200, "setupCost": 12000 }, "triangular": { "jobs": [ 1500, 2000, 2500 ], "manualMin": [ 6, 8, 10 ], "reviewMin": [ 1, 2, 4 ], "errorRate": [ 0.02, 0.05, 0.12 ], "hourlyCost": [ 40, 60, 100 ], "recurringCost": [ 2000, 2500, 4000 ], "outageHours": [ 0, 4, 12 ], "affectedHourlyValue": [ 100, 200, 500 ] }, "triangularOrder": [ "minimum", "mode", "maximum" ], "independentInputs": true, "fixedInputs": [ "autoMin", "reworkMin", "setupCost" ], "reviewAppliedToEveryJob": true, "notes": [ "All ranges are chosen illustrative assumptions, not fitted to Egyptian data.", "A saved hour is valued capacity. It becomes cash only if redeployed, sold, or an actual cost is avoided.", "Outage cost must represent incremental loss not already counted in reduced monthly jobs; otherwise double counting occurs.", "Inputs sampled independently for transparency; actual workload, staffing and outage risks may be correlated.", "The 5th–95th percentile spread describes assumed scenarios, not a statistical confidence interval.", "Setup cost is excluded from monthly net value; illustrative payback shown only when monthly value is positive.", "No claims about healthcare decisions, clinical safety, measured AI accuracy, or AI error rates." ] }, "formula": "jobs * (manualMin - autoMin - reviewMin - errorRate * reworkMin) / 60 * hourlyCost - recurringCost - outageHours * affectedHourlyValue", "results": { "draws": 50000, "seed": 20261104, "p05": -936.2854930708621, "p50": 3349.4095082486488, "p95": 9016.76986065581, "mean": 3606.8604450510848, "positiveShare": 0.89518, "base": { "savedMinutesPerJob": 4.0, "savedHours": 133.33333333333334, "grossCapacityValue": 8000.000000000001, "outageCost": 800, "netMonthlyValue": 4700.000000000001, "illustrativePaybackMonths": 2.553191489361702 } }, "sensitivity": [ { "parameter": "manualMin", "lowInput": 6, "highInput": 10, "atLow": 700.0000000000005, "atHigh": 8700.0, "span": 8000.0 }, { "parameter": "hourlyCost", "lowInput": 40, "highInput": 100, "atLow": 2033.333333333334, "atHigh": 10033.333333333334, "span": 8000.0 }, { "parameter": "reviewMin", "lowInput": 1, "highInput": 4, "atLow": 6700.0, "atHigh": 700.0000000000005, "span": 6000.0 }, { "parameter": "jobs", "lowInput": 1500, "highInput": 2500, "atLow": 2700.0, "atHigh": 6700.0, "span": 4000.0 }, { "parameter": "outageHours", "lowInput": 0, "highInput": 12, "atLow": 5500.000000000001, "atHigh": 3100.000000000001, "span": 2400.0 }, { "parameter": "errorRate", "lowInput": 0.02, "highInput": 0.12, "atLow": 5300.0, "atHigh": 3300.0, "span": 2000.0 }, { "parameter": "recurringCost", "lowInput": 2000, "highInput": 4000, "atLow": 5200.000000000001, "atHigh": 3200.000000000001, "span": 2000.0 }, { "parameter": "affectedHourlyValue", "lowInput": 100, "highInput": 500, "atLow": 5100.000000000001, "atHigh": 3500.000000000001, "span": 1600.0 } ] }, "environment": { "python": "3.12.14", "numpy": "2.5.4", "matplotlib": "3.11.2" }, "limitations": [ "National aggregate time series cannot identify personal motives or causal effects.", "No representative city-level or older-age adoption dataset is redistributed here.", "Observed population, firm survey and synthetic units are kept separate.", "Data freeze is 4 November2026; subsequent revisions require a new snapshot and manifest." ], "benchmark": { "label": "Executed local SQLite fault-injection benchmark", "executedAt": "2026-11-04T01:19:52.251303+00:00", "seed": 20261104, "jobsPerTrial": 500, "repetitions": 20, "warmupsPerStrategy": 1, "faults": { "offlineFirstAttempt": 125, "lostFirstAck": 50, "overlap": 15 }, "environment": { "python": "3.12.14", "sqlite": "3.53.1", "os": "Windows", "machine": "AMD64", "journal": "WAL", "synchronous": "FULL" }, "results": [ { "strategy": "one_shot", "jobs": 500, "acknowledged": 340, "uniqueApplied": 375, "notApplied": 125, "totalEffects": 375, "duplicateEffects": 0, "attempts": 500, "elapsedMedianMs": 409.8478, "elapsedMinMs": 388.9874, "elapsedMaxMs": 476.902, "elapsedP95Ms": 431.9876 }, { "strategy": "retry_without_key", "jobs": 500, "acknowledged": 500, "uniqueApplied": 500, "notApplied": 0, "totalEffects": 550, "duplicateEffects": 50, "attempts": 675, "elapsedMedianMs": 602.4672, "elapsedMinMs": 594.1326, "elapsedMaxMs": 636.501, "elapsedP95Ms": 634.179 }, { "strategy": "retry_with_key", "jobs": 500, "acknowledged": 500, "uniqueApplied": 500, "notApplied": 0, "totalEffects": 500, "duplicateEffects": 0, "attempts": 675, "elapsedMedianMs": 585.0043000000001, "elapsedMinMs": 565.383, "elapsedMaxMs": 664.6934, "elapsedP95Ms": 621.3498 } ], "restartCheck": { "initialQueueRecovered": 500, "secondRestartPending": 250, "finalUniqueApplied": 500, "finalDuplicateEffects": 0, "finalPending": 0, "connectionReopens": 2, "limitation": "Controlled close/reopen test only. No OS process kill, disk failure, network stack, or power-cut durability test." }, "limitations": [ "Synthetic jobs and deterministic injected exceptions; no production traffic or customer records.", "Each eligible job has at most one failure before write and one lost acknowledgement after a committed write.", "Retry budget is three immediate attempts, no backoff; real persistent outages can outlast any finite budget.", "All strategies see the same trace; execution order rotates; one warmup per strategy excluded.", "Local elapsed time excludes database setup and cannot establish network throughput or production response time.", "Idempotency prevents repeated effects for the SAME stable job key in this one database transaction.", "Distinct keys for duplicate user intent, external side effects, concurrent writers, retention expiry, malicious replay and multi-region consistency are not tested.", "Controlled outbox restart test closes/reopens connections, not OS kill or power-cut recovery." ], "sourceId": "softworks-benchmark" } }